ANNUAL REPORT  2000

Chairman’s Letter    History    Vision & Values    Board of Directors & Management    Economic Outlook    Report of Independent Auditors

Balance Sheets    Statements of Income    Notes to Financial Statements     Branches    Correspondents

 

ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

 

During 2000, the Lebanese economy registered a continuous decline in the main economic indicators relative to the previous year, a confirmation of a long-lasting recession. The deficit in the balance of payments, coupled with a deterioration in public finance, adversely affected the different sectors of the economy.

As a result, we have witnessed a stagnation in GDP and a foreign trade deficit of USD 5,514 million, due to a very limited increase in imports and exports by 0.3%, and 5.6%, respectively. The downward trend in the construction sector is a primary indicator of the regression of private investment. Construction permits decreased by 16%, and cement deliveries by 11%, relative to 1999. According to figures released by the Ministry of Finance, the net total public debt attained LBP 35,034 Billion, an increase of 17.7% over 1999 figures.

In the year 2000, internal public debt increased by LBP 3,153 Billion to reach LBP 24,530 Billion, and external public debt increased by USD 1,430 Million to reach USD 6,968 Million. External public debt represents 30% of net total public debt. These developments prove that the necessity to adopt a tight monetary policy and reform measures is mandatory in order to return to a sustainable GDP growth. The prevailing unstable political situation in the region maintained pressure on the majority of markets, and consequently compelled the monetary authorities to refrain from decreasing interest rates on Treasury Bills, maintaining them at almost the same levels of the previous year.

At the end of December 2000, yields on Treasury Bills recorded 11.18% and 12.12% on the three month and six month categories respectively, 13.43% and 14.64% on the one-year and two-year categories, respectively. The Banking sector registered an increase in the banks' total assets by 11.3% from LBP 60,971 Billion in 1999 to 67,888 Billion in 2000.

The structure of the consolidated balance sheet of banks in Lebanon in 2000 shows an increase in foreign currency deposit ratio from 62% to 67%, a sign of an increase in dollarization if compared to 1999 figures. The difficult operating conditions, the pressures on spreads, the decrease in the average returns on Treasury Bills, and in the absence of alternative sources of revenue, banks’ consolidated profits regressed by 20% in 2000, according to Central Bank statistics. This should not be explained as, due to the economic strain banks are cutting back on their operations, on the contrary, we observed that during these periods of constraints, banks are preparing themselves for the future, confident that the economic recession will not last forever. Consequently, a complete restructuring process is taking effect and new strategies are in place.

The banking sector is, therefore, becoming more proactive through the adoption of up-to-date operating procedures, the upgrading of their technical and electronic services, the recruitment of professionals, and the launch of new products. The strong tensions in the financial sector will definitely lessen as soon as the political uncertainties in the region, and the postponement of the national reconciliation are resolved. Finally, the return of confidence to the private sector is subject to the success of the government's new economic reforms.


 

 

 

 

Chairman’s Letter    History    Vision & Values    Board of Directors & Management    Economic Outlook    Report of Independent Auditors

Balance Sheets    Statements of Income    Notes to Financial Statements  Branches    Correspondents